https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-nevada-more-wide-open-than-we-realize/

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Welcome to a special edition of FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat . The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarahf ( Sarah Frostenson , politics editor): Just what is going on in Nevada? On Wednesday, we had maybe our most spirited debate of the primary cycle yet, but what isn’t clear is how it did — or didn’t — affect the race. (Remember, despite capturing many, many headlines, former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg isn’t actually on the ballot there.). To some extent, the polling picture in Nevada is actually quite clear. Of the few recent polls we do have, Sen. Bernie Sanders sits atop nearly all of them , and according to our primary forecast, he has a 75 percent chance of ... Full story

22 February

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